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美 한반도전문가들 "한미연합훈련 중단해야"
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美 한반도전문가들 "한미연합훈련 중단해야"

'한반도문제를 걱정하는 학자모임' "'핵전쟁 위기' 경고,"대화 시작할 때"

미국의 한반도 문제 전문가들이 '연평도 사태'로 인한 한반도 위기와 관련해 "한미연합훈련이 긴장을 고조시키고 무력 충돌을 야기할 수 있다"고 경고하고 대화를 통한 문제 해결을 남ㆍ북한 및 미국 정부에 촉구했다.

미국의 '한반도 문제를 걱정하는 학자 모임'(Alliance of Scholars Concerned about Korea, 약칭 ASCK)은 지난 27일 성명을 내고 "남북한과 미국의 무장 병력은 전쟁을 야기할 수 있다"며 "(그 전쟁은) 한반도를 파괴하고 세계를 핵전쟁으로 인한 대량학살(nuclear holocaust)의 위기에 빠트릴 수 있다"고 경고했다.

이들은 "4명의 인명을 앗아간 연평도에 대한 북한의 포격을 규탄한다"면서도 "북한을 자극한 한미연합훈련(22일부터의 호국훈련)을 규탄한다"고 말했다. 성명은 이어 "(이번) 인명 손실을 가져온 모든 행동을 규탄한다"면서 남북한과 미국 정부에 대해 "긴장을 고조시킬 수 있는 모든 군사적 행동을 즉각 중단"할 것을 촉구했다,

이들은 이번 군사적 긴장 사태의 배경에 대해 설명하며 일련의 사태는 23일 북한의 연평도 포격이 아니라 22일 호국훈련으로부터 시작했다고 보았다. 또한 "북한 해안으로부터 겨우 7마일(1마일은 약 1.6km) 떨어진 곳에서 남한 해병대가 포격훈련을 한 몇 시간 뒤 북한이 포격을 시작했다"는 점에 주목하기도 했다.

이들은 "한반도가 정전 상태에 있는 분단국가라는 것이 국지적 충돌사태의 구조적 원인"이라고 지적하며 "(남북간의) 경계선을 확실히 정하고 관계 정상화를 보장하는 '평화조약'의 체결을 통해 (아직 휴전 상태인) 한국전쟁을 완전히 끝내야 한다"고 주장했다.

이번 사태의 의미에 대해 이들은 "한반도의 현재 위기는 불안정한 정전 체제를 평화 체제로 바꿔야 할 필요성을 강조한다"며 "평화협정과 (관련국 간의) 관계 정상화, 한반도 비핵화에 대한 협상이 평화 체제의 기본이 돼야 한다"고 말했다.

이들은 "현재 상황에서 대화는 불가능해 보이지만, 언제나 시작하기 가장 어려울 때 대화의 필요성이 크다"며 "지금이 바로 (대화를 시작할) 때"라고 촉구했다.

이번 ASCK 성명에는 존 페퍼 '포린 폴리시 인 포커스' 공동대표, 이남희 UCLA대 교수 등 한반도 문제 전문가 11명이 참여했다.

November 27, 2010


ASCK Steering Committee Statement on the Current Crisis in Korea

The armed forces of North Korea, South Korea, and United States stand poised to wage a war that could destroy the Korean peninsula and engulf the world in a nuclear holocaust. It is a war that can and must be avoided.

Last week, a joint U.S-South Korean military exercise escalated into artillery exchange between the two Koreas. North Korea's artillery bombardment of Yeonpyeong Island killed four and wounded many more. South Korea's response left an as-yet unknown number of casualties in the North. Now the United States and South Korea have begun joint war games in the Yellow Sea. U.S. forces include the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit based in Okinawa, the 7th Air Force stationed in Osan, and the aircraft carrier USS George Washington based in Yokosuka. U.S. and South Korean marines will stage a combined amphibious landing exercise on the west coast of Korea.

These massive military maneuvers are escalating tensions and threaten to trigger general armed conflict. We appeal to all sides to desist immediately from warlike actions and stop this cycle of ever-increasing threats and shows of force. All parties must back down before sparking a conflict that would threaten millions of lives.

Background to the Rapid Military Escalation

On November 22nd, the South Korean and American armed forces began annual military exercises involving 70,000 soldiers deployed throughout the South, including the West Sea. Fifty warships, 90 helicopters, 500 warplanes, and 600 tanks were being mobilized for the war simulation exercises, scheduled to last until the end of the month.

Amidst the tension heightened by the exercise, South Korean marines on Yeonpyeong Island, just seven miles from the North Korean coast, fired an unknown number of artillery shells into waters claimed by both Pyongyang and Seoul. Hours later, the North Korean military began shelling Yeonpyeong, an island with military bases as well as a fishing community of 1,300 residents. The South Korean military responded by firing its own artillery at North Korean bases.

North Korea's attack on Yeonpyeong Island left two soldiers and two civilians dead and over fifteen wounded. Most of the civilians have had to flee the island. The number of casualties and the level of destruction in the North are not known but could be higher, given the technological superiority of the South's artillery.

Immediately following the artillery exchange, President Barack Obama dispatched the George Washington, a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier, and President Lee Myung-bak announced that the rules of engagement for the South Korean armed forces have been changed, allowing for an asymmetrical response to a North Korean attack. The North ratcheted up the tension with the statement that it "will wage second and even third rounds of attacks without any hesitation, if warmongers in South Korea make reckless military provocations again." As the US-South Korea joint military exercises get underway, tensions are rising yet higher.

The Imperative for Negotiations

We deplore all actions that lead to the loss of lives. We denounce the provocative military actions directed at North Korea by South Korea and the United States. We denounce North Korea's artillery attack on Yeonpyeong Island that killed at least four people. We call on the governments of North Korea, South Korea, and the United States to halt their reckless introduction of even greater military force that escalates tensions and risks further loss of life.

We call on all three governments – North Korea, South Korea, and the United States – to stop inflaming an already dangerous situation through their provocative actions and heated rhetoric. They should immediately cease the military exercises and maneuverings that will inevitably escalate tensions.

We call on the three governments to resume negotiations immediately in order to defuse tensions and to work toward finally ending the Korean War. The recent incident on Yeonpyeong is a deeply tragic reminder of the perilous state of ongoing conflict on the Korean peninsula. Since Korea was divided after World War II, a continuing state of war has been the structural cause of artillery exchanges and border clashes. A heightened risk of conflict will remain unless the Korean War is finally brought to an end with a peace treaty, which would establish the mutual recognition of borders and the normalization of relations.

The current crisis therefore underscores the imperative for diplomacy to transform the fragile armistice into a durable structure of peace based on the negotiation of a peace treaty, normalized relations, and the denuclearization of the peninsula. Talks may seem improbable under the present circumstances, but they are needed most when they seem hardest to start. This is such a moment.

Alexis Dudden, University of Connecticut
John Duncan, UCLA
Henry Em, New York University
John Feffer, Foreign Policy in Focus
Martin Hart-Landsberg, Lewis and Clark College
Monica Kim, University of Michigan
Suzy Kim, Rutgers University
Namhee Lee, UCLA
Jae-Jung Suh, SAIS-Johns Hopkins University
Seung Hye Suh, Korea Policy Institute
Theodore Jun Yoo, University of Hawaii at Manoa

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